However, Indonesia’s weather agency is forecasting that the transition to the rainy season will begin at different times across the island, with some areas potentially waiting until December.
For anyone planning a holiday, a longer stay or simply looking forward to enjoying Bali’s outdoor lifestyle, the weather is always an important consideration.
According to Indonesia’s Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG), most parts of Bali were still experiencing dry-season conditions toward the end of October 2026, despite some rainfall over recent weekends.
Although rain has already appeared in certain locations, BMKG says the rainfall recorded so far has not yet met the requirements to officially declare the beginning of the rainy season.
When Will the Rainy Season Begin?
The timing will depend on where you are on the island.
Aminudin Al Roniri, Head of the BMKG Climatology Station in Bali, explained that different regions are expected to experience the beginning of the rainy season at different times.
Expected to enter the rainy season between mid-to-late November.
Most areas expected to enter the rainy season sometime in December.
Most areas expected to enter the rainy season sometime in December.
Most areas expected to enter the rainy season sometime in December.
This means that travelers visiting different parts of Bali during November could experience quite different weather conditions.
For example, areas in central Bali may begin experiencing more consistent rainfall before some coastal destinations in the north, south, east and west.
Will Bali Experience More Rain Than Usual?
Interestingly, while the rainy season is arriving later than expected, BMKG is not necessarily forecasting a particularly mild wet season.
Current projections indicate that rainfall across Bali during the upcoming rainy season could be within the normal to above-normal range.
This means that once the rainy season becomes established, some areas could experience rainfall levels that are higher than their usual seasonal averages.
Why the Delayed Rainy Season Matters
The timing of the rainy season affects more than just holiday plans.
Farmers, local communities and businesses also depend on predictable rainfall, particularly when it comes to agriculture, water supplies and maintaining Bali’s natural environment.
With dry conditions continuing across much of the island, BMKG has advised residents to remain aware of two important issues: clean water availability and the risk of land fires.
Water Supplies
Areas that regularly experience drought may face additional pressure on their clean water supplies if dry conditions continue.
Residents are therefore encouraged to use water responsibly and remain aware of local water availability.
Land and Forest Fires
Dry vegetation and prolonged periods without significant rainfall can increase the risk of land fires.
Residents and visitors should avoid careless disposal of cigarettes or other materials that could start fires, particularly in dry rural and vegetation-covered areas.
What Should Visitors Expect?
For tourists currently enjoying Bali or planning a visit over the coming weeks, the delayed rainy season could mean more opportunities to enjoy outdoor activities before wetter conditions become established.
Beach visits, sightseeing, outdoor dining and exploring Bali’s countryside may remain attractive options, depending on local weather conditions.
However, visitors should not assume that the island will remain completely dry.
As Bali moves through the transition between seasons, sudden changes in weather are possible. Rain can develop quickly, and conditions may differ considerably between coastal areas and the island’s mountainous interior.
Bali’s Weather Is Part of Its Seasonal Charm
Bali’s tropical climate is one of the reasons the island remains attractive throughout the year.
The dry season brings plenty of opportunities for beaches, outdoor dining and sightseeing, while the rainy season transforms the countryside into a greener landscape, refreshing rice terraces, gardens and tropical vegetation.
For longer-term visitors and those considering making Bali their home, understanding these seasonal changes is also part of enjoying island life.
The latest BMKG forecast suggests that November will be a month of transition, with the rainy season gradually arriving across different parts of the island.
So, if you’re visiting Bali this November, enjoy the sunshine while it lasts — but keep that umbrella somewhere close!
Weather forecasts are subject to change. Visitors and residents should follow the latest updates from Indonesia’s BMKG, particularly when planning outdoor activities or traveling between regions.